天然气发电是化石能源发电中唯一具有增长潜力的品种
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摘要:《报告》预计,基准情景下,到2030年,亚洲风电、太阳能发电装机规模达到26亿千瓦;到2040年,风电、太阳能发电将成为亚洲的主体电源;到2060年,亚洲风电、太阳能发电装机规模达到110亿千瓦。中国在可再生能源领域具有技术、成本优势和长期稳定的政策环境,将在推进..

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《报告》预计,基准情景下,到2030年,亚洲风电、太阳能发电装机规模达到26亿千瓦;到2040年,风电、太阳能发电将成为亚洲的主体电源;到2060年,亚洲风电、太阳能发电装机规模达到110亿千瓦。中国在可再生能源领域具有技术、成本优势和长期稳定的政策环境,将在推进全球能源革命尤其是降低全球风电、太阳能发电成本方面发挥重要作用。

《报告》预测,到2060年,亚洲电源装机规模较2020年增长约3倍,基准场景和绿色加速情景下,风电、太阳能发电装机占电源总装机的比重分别超过70%和80%。

《报告》称,亚洲水电装机规模保持增长态势,增长速度将有所放缓,火电装机规模将于2035年前后达峰。未来,油电将逐步退出电力领域,被气电、可再生能源发电替代。天然气发电更多地用于保障高峰时段电力供应和为可再生能源消纳提供灵活性,是化石能源发电中唯一具有增长潜力的品种。

According to the report, under the baseline scenario, by 2030, the installed capacity of wind power and solar power in Asia will reach 2.6 billion kilowatts; By 2040, wind and solar power will become the main source of power in Asia; By 2060, the installed capacity of wind and solar power in Asia will reach 11 billion kilowatts. With its technological, cost advantages and long-term stable policy environment in the field of renewable energy, China will play an important role in promoting the global energy revolution, especially in reducing the cost of global wind and solar power generation.

The report predicts that by 2060, the installed scale of power supply in Asia will increase by about three times compared with 2020, and under the baseline scenario and the green acceleration scenario, wind power and solar power generation will account for more than 70% and 80% of the total installed power supply, respectively.

According to the report, the installed capacity of hydropower in Asia has maintained a growth trend, and the growth rate will slow down, and the installed capacity of thermal power will peak around 2035. In the future, oil and electricity will gradually withdraw from the power field and be replaced by gas and renewable energy generation. Natural gas power generation is more used to ensure peak hours of power supply and provide flexibility for renewable energy consumption, and is the only type of fossil energy generation with growth potential.




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